You can’t describe it any other way - pure hypocrisy.

The Leftists have been screaming for “immigration reform” because of the plight of the poor people (who have a 3.8% unemployment rate) of Mexico. They have been extolling the world about how hard it is to get into the US legallyand using this as an excuse against securing the border. We need “guest workers” and “a path to citizenship”, despite the fact that we already have 13 guest worker programs and there is a path to citizenship. But, the battle continues from the Leftists to make it more equitable for people who want to come to the US and do the “jobs no American will do”.

Explain this to me then:

Republicans in congress are trying to double the number of H2B visas  currently available for seasonal industries workers. We are talking about doubling the number of people who can legally enter the US to do some of those jobs “no American will do.” You would think the cogressional Democrats would be all in, right? The Leftists who are so concerned with the plight of these foreign workers are all for this issue right? Doublinbg the capacity of one of our current guest worker programs is a good thing to these Leftists, correct?

No - they are opposing it.

The Congressional Hispanic Caucus doesn’t want the H-2B bill to move forward alone because it is pursuing comprehensive immigration reform. Last year, a broad immigration bill died in the Senate during a rancorous debate about enforcement and a path toward residency for illegal workers.

Republicans blame Democratic leadership for holding up the H-2B bill. Boustany needs 218 House members to sign a “discharge petition” that would allow the bill to bypass committee action and go straight to the House floor.

Stupak is one name that won’t be appearing on the document. “My discussions with House leadership continue and I remain hopeful that they will lead to the quick action needed for seasonal businesses in northern Michigan and across the country,” Stupak said in a statement.

Rice, sugar, shellfish producers and construction firms are suffering in Louisiana, according to Boustany.

“They can’t find the workforce,” Boustany said at a Capitol Hill press conference. “They depended on H-2B visas over the years to meet these needs. This is good policy that’s being held hostage by politics.”

You see the hypocrisy? Again, the Leftists are showing their true colors. They are not concerned for the foreign workers. They are concerned that the Republicans will be seen as the benefactor to foreign workers.They are also concerned that they will loose power.

The truth is simple - Leftists understand that their power comes from being seen as a the benefactor to a burgeoning hispanic population. They don’t want workers to come in to the US, work at their jobs, and then go home. The Leftists want more poor people to come to the US and stay - while remaining poor -  so the government can be the benefactor. This is the only way Leftists remain powerful - by keeping people dependent upon them.

This is the benefit of big government. It is the only benefit of big government.

I have known Barney Brenner for several years. He is an inventive spirit, and a reliable conservative. Barney drove into Tucson years ago with a broken down car and $100 in his pocket. A few years later he was the owner of a chain of auto parts stores in Tucson called Barney’s Import Parts. Barney has also served as the President of the Pima County Republican Club and has written conservative policy analysis articles in the Tucson Citizen and Human Events Online.

Barney Brenner is the most affable guy I have ever met. Even when he is disagreeing with you, you know he has listened to your side of the story with a desire to understand you. In all of my conversations with Braney Brenner, I have never felt he was simply waiting for his turn to speak.

I telephoned with Barney yesterday and he told me, “I am filing today to run for Pima County Supervisor.” Well, I was shocked for a total of six seconds, but Barney made it clear how important bringing the Board of Supervisors to the right will be.

Bronson will have to get past a primary race, as she is being opposed by fellow Democrat Donna Branch-Gilby. However that pans out, the Republican challenger is Barney Brenner - who lost by a 2.5% margin to Bronson in 2000.

Barney Brenner’s campaign is managed by former Marana Mayor Ora Mae Harn, which is an exciting piece of news!

If John McCain gets the party nomination, we are going to have a Democrat in the White House on January 20th, 2009. It’s that simple.

McCain has held conservatives and conservative principles in disdain as his evolution to left-of-center politics reaches its peak. He wants your vote now.

The Republican frontrunner for president, Sen. John McCain, promoted his conservative bona fides on Face The Nation, while also admitting that, should he win the GOP nomination, he would likely not win the general election without the backing of the party’s conservative base.

Guess what? I am not supporting, nor voting for the Mav. I would rather spend my energy working to get the right people into Congress. that’s where the battles are going to be fought. This Pyhrric victory syndrome we Republicans are engaged in is ridiculous.

There is a lot of weak tea rhetoric going out right now:

• Our duty as Republicans - we owe it to our party to vote for McCain no matter what
• McCain is better than the other two
• We can vote for McCain without violating our principles
• Four years of a Democrat in the White House will ruin the nation
• We should separate ourselves from the issues and just vote along party lines

Let me tell you - that’s crap. It is outright hackery.

• You want to know what we owe our party? The strength of our Republican principles.
• McCain is not better than the other two - he is unpredictable, which makes him much more dangerous. That is why they call him the Maverick, right? Politically, that’s what they are referring to.
• You cannot vote for someone who denounces your principles, and calls you foolish for having them, without having abandoned them. It is delusional to think that your vote does not directly correspond to your beliefs. That is a play right out of the John Kerry play book.
• Four years of a Democrat in the White House can be harmful to our ideas of government - if we abdicate the congress to the left as well. Work hard to support solid Republicans with solid voting records to the front line positions in the Senate and House. That is where the judicial nominations battles will be fought. That is where the health care battles will be fought.
• The party lines have been blurred beyond recognition by the likes of John McCain. With it, many of our pundits are dithering and quibbling about how “we gotta win”. There is no win in the White House this fall - triage this race and you will see what the choices are.

I am voting for Romney in the primary elections because I believe he is more open to input from constituents. I am not thrilled to do so, but I am beyond looking for political purity here. However, let me offer a prediction:

John McCain will get the Republican Nomination - and he will then choose Joe Lieberman as his running mate. This solidifies several things for him:

• “Proves” he can work across party lines
• Garners a lot of Democrat votes in key states
• Levels the polls playing field and throws the current statistical models out the window.
• Removes his need for conservatives in order to win in November.
• Creates the one scenario that neither Hillary, nor Obama can defeat with the relative ease the pundits think this race is going to exude

RNC, you are on notice. Strap a two-by-four to your back while you un-screw the motivations of Republican policy and recover your spine. We’re done with the status quo and not giving a dime until you get back on target of smaller government, individual freedom, less spending, and the sanctity of life. Call us together, when you are ready to talk.

I told you, there will be a Democrat in the White House in November. The question is whether or not that person is registered as a Democrat.

John McCain is not likely to win his own state. Take a look at a recent straw poll conducted at a recent Maricopa County Republican Committee meeting.

Hat tip: Don Goldwater

Maricopa Republicans Presidential Straw Poll Vote Results

Maricopa County Republicans conducted a Presidential Straw Poll during the Jan. 19 Maricopa County Republican Committee meeting in Tempe.  In the first category the delegates were able to vote for only their first choice for president.

Those results were as follows.  Presidential Straw Poll with 721 ballots cast:

188            Mitt Romney            26%

121            Fred Thompson      17%

115            Ron Paul                 16%

93              Duncan Hunter        13%

80              John McCain           11%

33               Rudy Giuliani            9%

32               Mike Huckabee        9%

In the second voting category, the delegates were able to vote for more than one candidate as unacceptable.    In the Unacceptable Category 427 out of 721 (59%) of the delegates declared McCain as one of their unacceptable candidates. The tallies were:

427        McCain

396        Paul

357        Giuliani

340        Huckabee

156        Hunter

152        Thompson

121        Romney

In the third category, the delegates were able to vote for more than one candidate as acceptable.  

Those results were as follows:

370        Thompson

358        Hunter

356        Romney

235        Giuliani

207        Huckabee

135        McCain

120        Paul

These issues were rated by the delegates as the most important for the presidential candidates to address:

643        STOP ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION

552        WIN WAR AGAINST TERROR

518        REDUCE GOV’T SPENDING

406        LOWER TAXES

390        SUPREME COURT APPOINTMENTS

271        PRO-LIFE

226        CITIZEN’S GUN RIGHTS

196        DOMESTIC OIL PRODUCTION

106        CHOICE OF PRIVATE SS ACCOUNTS

Listening to the local shows and talking with Republicans in the area, the sentiment is the same all over. These results, are of course, anecdotal. However, it will be interesting to see how this plays out when Arizona Republicans (no independents vote in our primaries) have some 30-odd candidates to choose from on February 5th.

Blue Team - Bi-Racial and Bi-Sexual? AND Already with the recounts!

As we learned last week, Hillary Clinton won big in New Hampshire, flummoxing the polls and pollsters. Most of them have had excuses of one flavor or another, but the bottom lines seems to have been, we are not good at Bi-racial polling, nor bi-sexual polling. In the mean time, Hillary has made several statements along racial lines that have not sat well with black voters. The word on the street is there is a lot more faith in Bill on race than there is in Hillary.

After shaking up her staff and bringing in the old-school race baiters, you can bet this campaign is going to get messy fast. The question is will Hillary ruin their chances of a win in November just to get the party’s nomination?Barak Obama has a message for skeptical blacks in South Carolina - “Whites are ready for a black president”.  This is something we pointed out here last month. The big question is can Barak fend off the big hit campaign due to be launched against him by a large pro-Hillary group? South Carolina might be more contentious than anticipated. With several activists bringing out the race card, as well as trying to catch Barak riding dirty on his college drug use, he has to come out strong on the issues to get past what we think is simply a very nasty speed bump.  Kerry endorsed Obama though - did it help?

John Edwards could be facing Barak alone, unless Hillary can bring out another win. This would certainly change the dynamic of the race. We think there would be a lot less talk of race from the MSM, if there was also not a sex issue as well.

Dishonorable mention goes to Dennis Kucinich, who first demanded a recount in New Hampshire and then sued to be included in the debates in Nevada. He doesn’t seem to understand he has already been voted off the island of Wannabedaprezi!

Red Team - No Clear Front Runner!

Rudy Giuliani wants your prayers and he really needs them right now. South Carolina is not going to be friendly to him and Michigan is not going to be nice either. With cash problems and staffers going without pay, his campaign doesn’t have much steam left.

Mitt Romney needs a Michigan win to remain viable and he’ll probably get it, although the McCain surge could bump him into a second place finish. We’ll know soon enough! I don’t expect him to drop out before Super Tuesday, as he has enough money to stay in as long as he wants. Romney is also getting a lot of support from Leftists, according to Daily Kos - the idea being that Romney loses against Hillary and Obama in all polls thus far.

John McCain is still surging and it is paying off. As he gains popularity, he also becomes a magnet for abuse from the GOP base. take into account also that GOP leaders are not supporting him. Romney has garnered a lot more support from party leaders and congressional leaders, while McCain is gaining on popularity chatter. I still don’t believe McCain is going to get the nomination.

Mike Huckabee is losing fast. His campaign is in disarray and his true colors are starting to show. As others attack his policy - which is natural when you become the front runner - he began making his attacks more personal. As he slides in all the national polls, we are hearing a lot less news about him. I think he is close to being done.

Fred Thompson is still rising and expected to finish strong in South Carolina. In our minds, he does not need a win in any of the early primaries. As long as he can keep his campaign afloat money-wise, he can stick through to super-Tuesday and find out what America really thinks. There is a big difference between the primaries elections and the feeling the waters early primaries. His message is resonating well, as his campaign gets better at communicating. There is a rumor that a presidential ticket is shaping up with Fred. How does “Thompson - Watts ‘08″ sound?

Ron Paul is still in the race and we predict this will continue as long as the money holds out, despite poor results and not so subtle hints from the field that his policy ideas are crazy. We predict he will struggle to remain viable until just shy of Giga Tuesday and then swing his support to no one.

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Today the Democrats debate in Nevada and the Michigan primaries are today!

January 19th - Nevada caucuses!

Stay Tuned and watch the drama unfold! Who is next to leave the island of Wannapedaprezi? Find out what happens the next time - “The tribe has spoken”!

The Early Primaries!

That’s right! The game where everything is made up and the points don’t matter!

The debates thus far have been farcical. Each of the front runners have stood in front of the entire nation and lied. They are leaning so far to the right just now, they are in jeopardy of falling over. But their records just don’t stand up to conservative scrutiny.

Then there are the primary results themselves. Huckabee wins Iowa on the conservative through moderate voter blocks. That would appear to be a solid win. Except Huckabee was all but ignored in New Hampshire, where the great centrists McCain and Romney dominated. In Iowa, Huckabee was not even a contender. Here’s a break down:

• Huckabee got 17 delegates out of 37 in Iowa - 3 are still outstanding.
  • 35% of the very conservative voters
  • 34% of the somewhat conservative voters
  • 22% of the moderate voters

• McCain got 7 delegates out of 12 in New Hampshire.
  • 45% of the liberal voters
  • 44% of the moderate voters
  • 38% of the independent voters
  • 37% of the republican voters

• Romney got 8 delegates out of 14 in Wyoming - 2 are still outstanding.

I don’t have exit or entrance poll data for Wyoming, but it went like this:

• Romney
• Thomson
• Hunter

This tends to lead me to believe that Romney captured the liberal, moderate, and much of the somewhat conservative votes. With Thompson picking up, based upon how he polls in other states, a large chunk of the conservative and somewhat conservative voters and a small slice of the moderates.

My opinion on the early primaries are:

It does not appear they tell us anything other than conservatives appeal to conservative voters and liberals appeal to liberal and moderate voters. John McCain seems to appeal to liberals and moderates a great deal. It is also pretty clear that he doesn’t appeal to a great many of his own party.

It does not appear any of the front runners have delivered a consistent message. As an analyst, one of the things I am looking for is not trending as much as variance. Where there is less variance from state to state, I see consistency of message. McCain, Romney, Huckabee, Giuliani (who I predict will drop soon) all have a lot of variance in their results.

My final thought on the early primaries - Independents have no business deciding which candidate a party nominates. Put your own candidate up or change your affiliation. If you want to live that political alternative lifestyle, you cannot then complain you are not being accepted by the party.

Blue Team - Joe Who?

Hillary Clinton has lost a lot of favor among Democrats, losing to Obama in Iowa and probably losing to Obama and Edwards today in New Hampshire. She will win Michigan, as the other candidates asked to be removed from the ballot when Michigan changed the date of their primaries to earlier in the season.

Yesterday, Hillary had a human moment as she teared up talking about the grueling campaign schedule and her passion to create change in America. Some think this was calculated to show her humanity. Others think it was calculated to allow her an excuse to back out later. We think it was simply Hillary bending to too much pressure and that this is her “Dean Scream”.

We will find out son enough!

Barak Obama has got everything going his way right now. By our analysis, he will sweep most of the early primaries and will probably get the Democratic nomination. The problem so far is, Barak Obama has not come out with anything definitive - this is starting to look like 2004 all over again. What exactly is he going to change - that he is able to change?

John Edwards seems to have gotten a springboard from Clinton not doing so well. he is still in the race, but his days are numbered by our estimates. We predict Edwards will put his considerable base behind Obama sometime shortly after Michigan.

Red Team - Who is the real conservative?

Rudy Giuliani has shot his wad. No, he doesn’t have a new mistress - that we know of - but he is not generating the excitement he once was. We liken him to one of those tourist luaus. It’s very beautiful in pictures and exciting when you get there - but the drinks are watery, the food is dry and bland, oh and you have to go get it yourself.

Mitt Romney is still polling well and performing well on stage. However, the veneer is rubbing off, and we are starting to see the blue under the new coat or red paint. Romney recently mentioned how he is a big proponent of mandates on health insurance. Yet, studies of his health plan in Massachusetts show they are becoming a fiduciary nightmare. We predict Americans will wake up and prompt a Romney break up.  Romney did take Wyoming though.

John McCain is the man of the hour, but no one knows it just yet. It looks like he is set to win New Hampshire and he might do well in South Carolina. There are a lot of people in the Republican party pushing John McCain’s name more forcefully now. We’ll have to see if the mustang overtakes some of the thoroughbreds - they are known for their endurance. If McCain is anything, he’s enduring.

Fred Thompson is reportedly on a rise in the field. We don’t predict a strong finish in New Hampshire and neither does Fred. Fred has made very clear statements regarding his policy and has not been required to clarify his statements, unlike every other Republican candidate. While most of the other candidates have been reported by Fact Check on numerous occasions as having distorted or outright lied about their positions, Fred has simply pointed to his legislative record.

Fred’s campaign is the most dynamic in this race from the standpoint of the possibilities his campaign represent versus the actual poll results.

Mike Huckabee saw a big surge leading up to Iowa and it carried him through that early primary in good position. Yet, recent questions have emerged about his policy stances as Governor of Arkansas. The cost of popularity in this race will always bring with it a greater degree of scrutiny - watch for Huckabee to place second in New Hampshire or a very close third. Has anyone had a Huckaburger yet?

Ron Paul is still in the race and we predict this will continue as long as the money holds out, despite poor results and not so subtle hints from the field that his policy ideas are crazy. We predict he will struggle to remain viable until just shy of Giga Tuesday and then swing his support to no one.

——————–

Tthe New Hampshire Primary Elections are today!

Michigan primaries on January 15th!

Stay Tuned and watch the drama unfold! Who is next to leave the island of Wannapedaprezi? Find out what happens the next time - “The tribe has spoken”!

It’s a request.

Senator McCain is destined to be a bridesmaid, not a bride. The fact that a well entrenched, heavily funded, active campaigner like John McCain tied with Fred Thompson - who entered the race late and without a huge war chest - clearly shows John McCain where he should be spending his time. That’s right, stumping for Fred.

I know, first primary and all, but you have a big dichotomy here. John McCain has been running for President for nearly four years - in some form or another. Fred Thompson has been running for 15 weeks.

John McCain has burned too many bridges with the Republican base and right-leaning independents to have any sort of chance for a nomination. However, McCain is a capable campaigner - for other candidates. He should swing his influence and name behind Fred Thompson - who because of his late start is only now beginning to see his star rise. Iowa has shown that a man with the right principles and the right plan for America doesn’t have to be a career race runner.

Fred Thompson is the closest thing to the citizen politician, as opposed to the career politician, that I hear everyone squawking about needing in Washington. Put your money where your mouth is. Support Fred.

UPDATE: To Clueless McCain Supporters (All other McCain supporters carry on):

1) If you wish to disagree and have your point posted in comments, don’t call me names.

2) The title of this article is  an obvious spin of the Politico rumor that Thompson was dropping out and backing McCain after Iowa.

Fact Check did an analysis of the recent Republican debates in Des Moines, Iowa. Of all the (serious) candidates, only Fred Thompson was not listed as having made some stupid declaration or misleading statement.

Some of the larger misstatements were:

John McCain - I can make the US oil independent in 5 years.

Mike Huckabee - I have the most impressive education record of all the candidates

Mitt Romney - Teen pregnancy programs are not working

Rudy Giuliani - a big federal tax cut would produce “a major boost in revenues for the government”.

I know, I know - Allen Keyes is the only man who knows what is right for America. Ron Paul is hope for America. Elvis is alive; the aliens finally returned him. OJ is innocent (again).

This past Sunday, Republican presidential candidates took part in debates hosted by Univision in Miami. The following candidates attended: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson.

FactCheck.org did an analysis of the debate and found some incorrect and/or misleading statements by the following candidates:

• Mike Huckabee
• Mitt Romney
• Rudy Giuliani

See what Fact Check found.