Yes, I realize these are primary elections we are involved in right now. I also realize that a candidate does not a presidential ticket make. But, I am already a partisan to conservatism and federalism, so I don’t heart Huckabee. This is not a media-driven choice for me. I have reviewed the records of all of the candidates - their money is where their votes are.

This is why I placed a Fred decal on my website - his record is clear and his statements correspond with his record. Don’t take my word for it - please. Go to FactCheck.org and see which of the candidates are manipulating their message and which are not.

Mike Huckabee is not a conservative - being an evangelical does not make him a conservative. Rather, he holds some conservative views relating to culture and social issues. What you will notice is a Buster Keaton like lean to the right - this trend starts about June 2007. This is around the same time the polling started on Huckabee.

So - let us look at Huckabee’s policy stances on the issues - you’ll see the trend I am talking about. I am discussing comparisons, not what I think is right or wrong. Huckabee has changed his stance on many issues once he started getting polling data. He is not a leader, he’s a poll follower.

Continue reading Why I don’t heart Mike Huckabee…

Blue Team - Bi-Racial and Bi-Sexual? AND Already with the recounts!

As we learned last week, Hillary Clinton won big in New Hampshire, flummoxing the polls and pollsters. Most of them have had excuses of one flavor or another, but the bottom lines seems to have been, we are not good at Bi-racial polling, nor bi-sexual polling. In the mean time, Hillary has made several statements along racial lines that have not sat well with black voters. The word on the street is there is a lot more faith in Bill on race than there is in Hillary.

After shaking up her staff and bringing in the old-school race baiters, you can bet this campaign is going to get messy fast. The question is will Hillary ruin their chances of a win in November just to get the party’s nomination?Barak Obama has a message for skeptical blacks in South Carolina - “Whites are ready for a black president”.  This is something we pointed out here last month. The big question is can Barak fend off the big hit campaign due to be launched against him by a large pro-Hillary group? South Carolina might be more contentious than anticipated. With several activists bringing out the race card, as well as trying to catch Barak riding dirty on his college drug use, he has to come out strong on the issues to get past what we think is simply a very nasty speed bump.  Kerry endorsed Obama though - did it help?

John Edwards could be facing Barak alone, unless Hillary can bring out another win. This would certainly change the dynamic of the race. We think there would be a lot less talk of race from the MSM, if there was also not a sex issue as well.

Dishonorable mention goes to Dennis Kucinich, who first demanded a recount in New Hampshire and then sued to be included in the debates in Nevada. He doesn’t seem to understand he has already been voted off the island of Wannabedaprezi!

Red Team - No Clear Front Runner!

Rudy Giuliani wants your prayers and he really needs them right now. South Carolina is not going to be friendly to him and Michigan is not going to be nice either. With cash problems and staffers going without pay, his campaign doesn’t have much steam left.

Mitt Romney needs a Michigan win to remain viable and he’ll probably get it, although the McCain surge could bump him into a second place finish. We’ll know soon enough! I don’t expect him to drop out before Super Tuesday, as he has enough money to stay in as long as he wants. Romney is also getting a lot of support from Leftists, according to Daily Kos - the idea being that Romney loses against Hillary and Obama in all polls thus far.

John McCain is still surging and it is paying off. As he gains popularity, he also becomes a magnet for abuse from the GOP base. take into account also that GOP leaders are not supporting him. Romney has garnered a lot more support from party leaders and congressional leaders, while McCain is gaining on popularity chatter. I still don’t believe McCain is going to get the nomination.

Mike Huckabee is losing fast. His campaign is in disarray and his true colors are starting to show. As others attack his policy - which is natural when you become the front runner - he began making his attacks more personal. As he slides in all the national polls, we are hearing a lot less news about him. I think he is close to being done.

Fred Thompson is still rising and expected to finish strong in South Carolina. In our minds, he does not need a win in any of the early primaries. As long as he can keep his campaign afloat money-wise, he can stick through to super-Tuesday and find out what America really thinks. There is a big difference between the primaries elections and the feeling the waters early primaries. His message is resonating well, as his campaign gets better at communicating. There is a rumor that a presidential ticket is shaping up with Fred. How does “Thompson - Watts ‘08″ sound?

Ron Paul is still in the race and we predict this will continue as long as the money holds out, despite poor results and not so subtle hints from the field that his policy ideas are crazy. We predict he will struggle to remain viable until just shy of Giga Tuesday and then swing his support to no one.

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Today the Democrats debate in Nevada and the Michigan primaries are today!

January 19th - Nevada caucuses!

Stay Tuned and watch the drama unfold! Who is next to leave the island of Wannapedaprezi? Find out what happens the next time - “The tribe has spoken”!

Blue Team - Joe Who?

Hillary Clinton has lost a lot of favor among Democrats, losing to Obama in Iowa and probably losing to Obama and Edwards today in New Hampshire. She will win Michigan, as the other candidates asked to be removed from the ballot when Michigan changed the date of their primaries to earlier in the season.

Yesterday, Hillary had a human moment as she teared up talking about the grueling campaign schedule and her passion to create change in America. Some think this was calculated to show her humanity. Others think it was calculated to allow her an excuse to back out later. We think it was simply Hillary bending to too much pressure and that this is her “Dean Scream”.

We will find out son enough!

Barak Obama has got everything going his way right now. By our analysis, he will sweep most of the early primaries and will probably get the Democratic nomination. The problem so far is, Barak Obama has not come out with anything definitive - this is starting to look like 2004 all over again. What exactly is he going to change - that he is able to change?

John Edwards seems to have gotten a springboard from Clinton not doing so well. he is still in the race, but his days are numbered by our estimates. We predict Edwards will put his considerable base behind Obama sometime shortly after Michigan.

Red Team - Who is the real conservative?

Rudy Giuliani has shot his wad. No, he doesn’t have a new mistress - that we know of - but he is not generating the excitement he once was. We liken him to one of those tourist luaus. It’s very beautiful in pictures and exciting when you get there - but the drinks are watery, the food is dry and bland, oh and you have to go get it yourself.

Mitt Romney is still polling well and performing well on stage. However, the veneer is rubbing off, and we are starting to see the blue under the new coat or red paint. Romney recently mentioned how he is a big proponent of mandates on health insurance. Yet, studies of his health plan in Massachusetts show they are becoming a fiduciary nightmare. We predict Americans will wake up and prompt a Romney break up.  Romney did take Wyoming though.

John McCain is the man of the hour, but no one knows it just yet. It looks like he is set to win New Hampshire and he might do well in South Carolina. There are a lot of people in the Republican party pushing John McCain’s name more forcefully now. We’ll have to see if the mustang overtakes some of the thoroughbreds - they are known for their endurance. If McCain is anything, he’s enduring.

Fred Thompson is reportedly on a rise in the field. We don’t predict a strong finish in New Hampshire and neither does Fred. Fred has made very clear statements regarding his policy and has not been required to clarify his statements, unlike every other Republican candidate. While most of the other candidates have been reported by Fact Check on numerous occasions as having distorted or outright lied about their positions, Fred has simply pointed to his legislative record.

Fred’s campaign is the most dynamic in this race from the standpoint of the possibilities his campaign represent versus the actual poll results.

Mike Huckabee saw a big surge leading up to Iowa and it carried him through that early primary in good position. Yet, recent questions have emerged about his policy stances as Governor of Arkansas. The cost of popularity in this race will always bring with it a greater degree of scrutiny - watch for Huckabee to place second in New Hampshire or a very close third. Has anyone had a Huckaburger yet?

Ron Paul is still in the race and we predict this will continue as long as the money holds out, despite poor results and not so subtle hints from the field that his policy ideas are crazy. We predict he will struggle to remain viable until just shy of Giga Tuesday and then swing his support to no one.

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Tthe New Hampshire Primary Elections are today!

Michigan primaries on January 15th!

Stay Tuned and watch the drama unfold! Who is next to leave the island of Wannapedaprezi? Find out what happens the next time - “The tribe has spoken”!

Mike Huckabee mentioned that he gets foreign policy advice from Frank Gaffney.

He has, when asked about foreign policy advisers and policy wonks who influenced him, mentioned Frank Gaffney.

“I talk to Frank Gaffney,” he told Wolf Blitzer on Late Edition.

Last night on Hugh Hewitt’s show, Gaffney called Huckabee’s Iran views “cockamamie.”

Whoopsy!

It should be noted that Fred Thompson has already chided Huckabee on his policy idea on Iran.

Fact Check did an analysis of the recent Republican debates in Des Moines, Iowa. Of all the (serious) candidates, only Fred Thompson was not listed as having made some stupid declaration or misleading statement.

Some of the larger misstatements were:

John McCain - I can make the US oil independent in 5 years.

Mike Huckabee - I have the most impressive education record of all the candidates

Mitt Romney - Teen pregnancy programs are not working

Rudy Giuliani - a big federal tax cut would produce “a major boost in revenues for the government”.

I know, I know - Allen Keyes is the only man who knows what is right for America. Ron Paul is hope for America. Elvis is alive; the aliens finally returned him. OJ is innocent (again).